Monday, September 30, 2013

Ron Gardenhire's Contract Extension a Good Idea?

The Minnesota Twins’ front office has made a number of questionable decisions over the past several seasons. Yesterday they made another one. After being listed as on the hot seat during this past season and taking tons of grief from fans and media outlets, Ron Gardenhire accepted a 2 year contract extension and will return as the team’s manager in 2014. Minnesota is a notoriously loyal organization when it comes to its coaching staff, so this decision doesn’t come with too much shock. After all, only 1 manager in MLB history has returned to coach a team for 2 full seasons following 3 consecutive seasons of 90 or more loses, and it was Gardenhire’s predecessor, Tom Kelly!  Gardy is a loveable figure in the dugout and has earned his young popularity as the man behind the lineup card, winning 6 AL Central Division titles in his first 9 seasons with the Twins. But now Gardy finds himself as the lead character in a new chapter of Twins baseball, and the last three seasons have been the worst such stretch in the organization’s history. So, was the right decision made here? History, if it chooses to repeat itself, would say not. And history does have a nasty habit of doing just that.


I mentioned above that Gardenhire isn’t the first manager to go through a situation similar to the present one, and isn’t even the first Twins manager to do so. Since 1945, 8 MLB managers have been asked to return to their teams, even following 3 consecutive seasons of 90 or more losses. Below is a table listing these 8 managers, and how they fared in their season of mercy.

Name
Team
Years
Following Yr Record
Notes
Zack Taylor
Browns
1948-50
52-102
Let go following the 1951 season
Casey Stengel
Mets
1962-64
50-112
Fired 95 games into 1965 season
Preston Gomez
Padres
1969-71
58-95
Fired 11 games into 1972 season
Darrell Johnson
Mariners
1977-79
59-103
Fired 104 games into 1980 season
Joe Torre
Mets
1978-80
41-62*
Let go following  the 1981 season
Tom Kelly
Twins
1997-99
69-93
Retired following 2001 season**
Felipe Alou
Expos
1998-00
68-94
Fired 53 games into 2001 season
Larry Rothschild
Rays
1998-00
62-100
Fired 14 games into 2001 season

*The 1981 season was split into two halves and shortened due to the player’s strike.
**Tom Kelly also managed the Twins in 2001 going 85-77. He retired at the end of the season.

As you can see, of the 8 managers above, 5 were fired at some point during the following season. And all 8 of their teams failed miserably in their attempts at providing manager redemption, with the most successful season leading to a dismal 69 wins. Zack Taylor and Joe Torre were both shown the door at the end of their unsuccessful seasons, and again, Tom Kelly was the only manager of the 8 allowed to leave the team on his own accord after two seasons. History shows here that Gardy’s chances of being successful as a manager of the Minnesota Twins are slim to none, and his future with the organization could be ending very soon!

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Now wait a minute, this shouldn’t necessarily mean the final pounding of the gavel on Gardenhire’s career. He has, after all, proved time and time again to be an excellent manager with a great baseball mind. Gardy is the only manager in the game’s history to win 6 division titles in his first 9 seasons with a team. The man knows what he’s doing. Twins President David St. Peter was even quoted in the organization’s press conference yesterday saying, “Ron Gardenhire did not get stupid overnight. He was the (American League) Manager of the Year in 2010.” This is something that could be said about a number of the names in the table above as well. Tom Kelly won 2 World Series titles with the Twins before his plunge, and Casey Stengel is one of the best managers of all time, having won 7 World Series’ and 10 American League Championships with the Yankees before his dismal tenure with the Mets. And even still, Joe Torre was able to turn around the slow start to his managerial career with the Mets and eventually win 4 World Series trophies and 6 American League Pennants, also with the New York Yankees. Maybe we’ve got a true gem here in Gardenhire and a little bit of patience is in order, or perhaps a change of scenery could’ve done both the Twins and Gardy a big favor.

Another “Not So Fast!” claim presents itself clearly in the poor front office decisions made by both past and current management staff. Former General Manager Bill Smith made countless terrible decisions and Terry Ryan hasn’t exactly done the greatest job picking up the pieces, leaving Gardy with little talent to work with. Having arguably the best farm system in baseball doesn’t mean much to a struggling big-league manager, except that you may never see an opportunity to coach them in the future. The name of the game is longevity, and you’ve got to be able to make the most out of what you’ve got in front of you. But let’s be honest, some of the lineups that Gardenhire has been forced to put out lately resemble the “Mutants from Table 9!” Coaching is extremely important, but so is having talent on the field, and that’s the real issue here, not Gardenhire.

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No matter who managed the Twins the last 3 seasons, they would’ve seen roughly the same result. There is really just not much that can be done with the recent teams that have been forced out onto the field and told to perform. And, nothing is going to change if the same procedures keep taking place and the same players continue to represent the team. It starts in the GM’s office. However, that doesn’t mean that a managerial change couldn’t help add a hint of lime to the equation either. The world of baseball is a harsh reality where “If you lose the last game of the season, nobody gives a shit!” Personally, I would’ve made the move to bring in a new manager and offer Gardy some sort of managerial position within the front office. It may be well too early yet, but I would love to see former Twin and current manager of the Single A affiliate Fort Myers Miracle, Doug Mientkiewicz mentioned as a possible future candidate for Gardenhire’s position.

With all of that being said, I love Ron Gardenhire and truly believe in his knowledge of the game and his experience with success. I admire his fire and passion for the game and can’t really feel that the Twins are in too poor of hands as long as Gardy is at the helm. I wish him the absolute best, and hope to see the necessary off-season moves come through to give him a fighting chance at beating the odds against him. History often repeats itself, but our history hasn't quite been written yet.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

HOLD UP, HEAR ME OUT...

Please don’t be alarmed or offended by the somewhat confusing title above, and please give me a chance to explain. First off, I definitely do not hate the Minnesota Twins in any way, shape, or form. I love the Twins, I love Target Field, and I love baseball.


"How can you not be romantic about baseball?" This, a quote from the 2012 film Moneyball, is one of my new favorite phrases. The sport of baseball is a perfect combination of so many different things that fans and players can’t help but fall in love with. There is such an expertise to the forming together of a team, a lineup, a pitching rotation, a bullpen, etc. There are so many important details to be found hiding in any of the endless statistics used to build these teams. There are precise strategic maneuvers regarding matchups, splits, weather, or even what time of day a team’s next game takes place. And yet, even with all the attention that gets placed on the numbers, and all these specific chess piece moves, the game still carries with it a huge sense of randomness. A broken bat base hit, a bobbled relay throw, a bad hop, or a gust of wind on any given day can take every statistic on the board and flush it down the drain. It’s this very sense of randomness that makes every true fan optimistic at the beginning of each new season. Your team might have lost 150 games last year and lost its best three players to free agency, but somewhere in the numbers, and somewhere in your gut, you know this is the year. The movie Moneyball admittedly helped give birth to the idea that now became my blog. Every baseball fan loves to play manager in their head. We would love to have the scorecard for a night and put our best judged lineup down, or be in the draft room helping decide which prospects should be given a chance on our teams. The story behind Moneyball gives this dream a whole new world of thought with endless possibilities. Now owners and managers are looking at their teams from a different angle, and players possess value that never existed before.

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I am a Twins fan, as diehard as they come, and have intently watched my team since as long as I can remember. In grade school and little league I remember most kids my age would try to be like Sammy Sosa or Ken Griffey Jr, while I was proud to announce Doug Mientkiewicz as my favorite player, closely followed by Jacque Jones, Brad Radke, Torii, and the rest of the crew. I have seen teams take back to back to back Central Division Championships, and even compete for a pennant. I get to hear from my father, but can’t remember the Twins’ last World Series Championship as I was barely a year old at the time, but they were there on top of the game at the beginning of my lifetime. And yet, more recently, I am about to witness back to back to back 60(something) win seasons. The once labeled, Team that Saved Baseball by ESPN the magazine is now the cellar of Major League Baseball, and I am determined to find out what went wrong, and hopefully do whatever I can to help fix it. So you see, this isn’t an extravagant troll’s webpage where any and all can come to spit on the Minnesota Twins, and it certainly isn’t a place to come and poke fun at the team’s fans. After all, that’s all that I am.. a fan. 

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And so, from here on this fan will attempt to make you laugh, make you angry, make you think about stats and players in a way you never have before, and hopefully make you feel a little more optimistic about the future of the Minnesota Twins. Because with a little tweaking (yes tweaking, not twerking), I believe the future is very bright... 


"How can you not be romantic about baseball?"